October 2021 The Pizza Box Open: Post-Ban Historic Decklists and Results

The Pizza Box is a semi-casual event series hosted by Twitch streamer HolywoodPizza. This weekend, their monthly Pizza Box Open took place featuring the Historic format – among the first Historic tournaments since the very recent banning of Tibalt’s Trickery and suspension of Memory Lapse.

The tournament had a prize pool of $240 US with a 1st place prize of $100, but the real draw here to this event was the opportunity to play competitively in the format now that blue decks have been significantly weakened by the recent removal of Memory Lapse and of course Brainstorm, which was removed back in July.

Below, we’re going to break down the metagame, with additional analysis provided by mtgmeta.io, and present the Top 8 standings and decklists from the tournament. The competitive Historic meta is sure to continue shifting as players work to find the best decks in the post-ban format, but let’s take this opportunity to see what competitive players are thinking and how the results are playing out so far.

Metagame

ArchetypeNumber of DecksPercentage of Field
Jund Food1820.2%
Jeskai Control (Kaheera)55.6%
Rakdos Arcanist (Lurrus)33.4%
Gruul Aggro33.4%
Selesnya Humans33.4%
Five-color Niv-Mizzet33.4%
Mono-Red Aggro33.4%
Orzhov Auras (Lurrus)33.4%
Additional metagame data and full report available at mtgmeta.io
the pizza box open
17 October, 2021 - historic - 89 players
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win
rate
vs
jund food
vs
selesnya humans
vs
jeskai control
vs
five-color niv-mizzet
vs
gruul aggro
vs
orzhov auras
vs
boros burn
vs
jund company
jund food
72 matches
global 56.9% [45.4%-67.7%]
-
42.9%
7 matches
66.7%
6 matches
33.3%
3 matches
66.7%
3 matches
83.3%
6 matches
83.3%
6 matches
0.0%
3 matches
jund food
72 matches
global 56.9% [45.4%-67.7%]
global 60.0% [38.7%-78.1%]
57.1%
7 matches
-
100.0%
1 matches
50.0%
2 matches
100.0%
1 matches
0.0%
1 matches
-
-
global 60.0% [38.7%-78.1%]
jeskai control
22 matches
global 59.1% [38.7%-76.7%]
33.3%
6 matches
0.0%
1 matches
-
50.0%
2 matches
100.0%
2 matches
100.0%
1 matches
-
-
jeskai control
22 matches
global 59.1% [38.7%-76.7%]
global 75.0% [50.5%-89.8%]
66.7%
3 matches
50.0%
2 matches
50.0%
2 matches
-
100.0%
1 matches
0.0%
1 matches
-
100.0%
1 matches
global 75.0% [50.5%-89.8%]
gruul aggro
12 matches
global 41.7% [19.3%-68%]
33.3%
3 matches
0.0%
1 matches
0.0%
2 matches
0.0%
1 matches
-
-
-
-
gruul aggro
12 matches
global 41.7% [19.3%-68%]
orzhov auras
13 matches
global 46.2% [23.2%-70.9%]
16.7%
6 matches
100.0%
1 matches
0.0%
1 matches
100.0%
1 matches
-
-
-
100.0%
1 matches
orzhov auras
13 matches
global 46.2% [23.2%-70.9%]
boros burn
16 matches
global 62.5% [38.6%-81.5%]
16.7%
6 matches
-
-
-
-
-
-
0.0%
1 matches
boros burn
16 matches
global 62.5% [38.6%-81.5%]
jund company
12 matches
global 66.7% [39.1%-86.2%]
100.0%
3 matches
-
-
0.0%
1 matches
-
0.0%
1 matches
100.0%
1 matches
-
jund company
12 matches
global 66.7% [39.1%-86.2%]
vs
jund food
vs
selesnya humans
vs
jeskai control
vs
five-color niv-mizzet
vs
gruul aggro
vs
orzhov auras
vs
boros burn
vs
jund company

Many players had speculated if, with three cards from the Strixhaven Mystical Archive now banned, the Historic format would largely return to what it looked like before the Archive was printed – a format run largely by Jund Sacrifice, driven by the engine of Cauldron Familiar/Witch’s Oven and powered up with Mayhem Devil and a suite of other synergies.

Looking at the metagame shares from this event, it appears that many of the competitors were thinking along those lines. Over 20% of the meta consisted of various Jund Food decks, which look much the same as they always have. The second most popular archetype, Jeskai Control, was significantly behind, making up just 5.6% of the meta for comparison.

Jeskai Control, the former hegemon of the format, still performed respectably with a 59% winrate, but it lagged behind Jund decks which were sitting at nearly 58%. Perhaps the most impressive results, however, were posted by Five-Color Niv-Mizzet, which managed an 85% winrate in the event with a high winrate against Jund in particular.

jund food (jegantha)
57.7% global win rate
14.38% metagame share
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vs boros burn
83.3% win rate
6 tracked matches
vs orzhov auras (lurrus)
83.3% win rate
6 tracked matches
vs rakdos arcanist (lurrus)
83.3% win rate
6 tracked matches
vs jeskai control
69.2% win rate
13 tracked matches
vs simic merfolk
62.5% win rate
8 tracked matches
vs izzet phoenix
55.6% win rate
9 tracked matches
vs selesnya company
54.5% win rate
11 tracked matches
vs jund citadel
50.0% win rate
6 tracked matches
vs 5c niv-mizzet
46.2% win rate
13 tracked matches
vs mono-red madness
38.5% win rate
13 tracked matches
vs izzet combo
28.6% win rate
7 tracked matches

Top 8 Standings

RankPlayerDeckRecord
1SirHamilton1Five-Color Niv-Mizzet9-1
2Dominik KoniecznyMono Red Madness8-1
3Mikail NogueiraJund Food7-3
4Renzo AranaSelesnya Company7-2
5Ivan MeryJund Food6-2
6Taras KohutJund Company6-2
7Marcos RaulinoJund Food5-3
8Levon SogomonyanJund Food5-2

It was in fact one of the three Five-Color Niv-Mizzet decks entered that managed to win the Pizza Box Open, ending the tournament with an impressive 9-1 record in the hands of player SirHamilton1. Like Jund, the Niv-Mizzet Reborn decks in Historic haven’t changed all that much in recent months, although SirHamilton1’s deck does include a full playset of Territorial Kavu from Jumpstart: Historic Horizons.

five-color niv-mizzet
50% global win rate
3.26% metagame share
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vs azorius lotus field
80.0% win rate
5 tracked matches
vs gruul aggro
77.8% win rate
9 tracked matches
vs mono-red madness
75.0% win rate
8 tracked matches
vs heliod company
58.3% win rate
12 tracked matches
vs jeskai control
57.1% win rate
14 tracked matches
vs jund food
54.2% win rate
24 tracked matches
vs golgari food
50.0% win rate
12 tracked matches
vs rakdos arcanist
50.0% win rate
8 tracked matches
vs jund citadel
44.4% win rate
9 tracked matches
vs azorius auras
37.5% win rate
8 tracked matches
vs izzet phoenix
37.5% win rate
32 tracked matches
vs selesnya humans
30.0% win rate
20 tracked matches
vs izzet turns
22.2% win rate
9 tracked matches
vs selesnya enchantress
14.3% win rate
7 tracked matches

Much of the rest of the Top 8 was taken up by the Jund decks, which shouldn’t be a surprise given the archetype’s share of the meta. There were, however, two other archetypes that showed up at the Top 8 – a Mono Red Madness/Aggro deck piloted by Dominik Konieczny to the number two slot, and Selesnya Company by Renzo Arana in fourth place.

Mono Red decks have been showing up all over the place in Historic, especially on the ranked ladder, thanks to a huge injection of power for the archetype from Historic Horizons. Dragon’s Rage Channeler, Blazing Rootwalla, and Unholy Heat have really come together with existing cards like Bomat Courier and of course Faithless Looting to create a blazing fast synergistic aggro deck, and Konieczny did a great job showcasing the power of the archetype.

mono-red madness
49.7% global win rate
1.63% metagame share
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vs izzet turns
71.4% win rate
7 tracked matches
vs jund food
60.0% win rate
15 tracked matches
vs izzet phoenix
57.1% win rate
14 tracked matches
vs selesnya humans
57.1% win rate
21 tracked matches
vs jeskai control
54.5% win rate
11 tracked matches
vs heliod company
36.4% win rate
11 tracked matches
vs five-color niv-mizzet
25.0% win rate
8 tracked matches
vs rakdos arcanist
22.2% win rate
9 tracked matches
vs jund citadel
20.0% win rate
5 tracked matches

Selesnya Collected Company-based decks have also been quite popular in Historic in both competitive events and on the ladder, often based around the Angel tribe. Renzo Arana’s fourth place deck took the deck in the direction of the Humans instead. The deck features all of the staples of the tribe like Esper Sentinel and Thalia’s Lieutenant, and it even includes the new Sigarda, Champion of Light from Midnight Hunt for the lord effect and a bit of added grind.

selesnya company
50% global win rate
0.54% metagame share
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It seems that the Historic format hasn’t been completely turned on its head by the recent bannings, but one thing is certain: Jund is back. It will be interesting to see if decks like Jeskai Control will continue to do well at the highest levels of competition in the format now that Memory Lapse has been suspended. Although there were no Jeskai decks in the Top 8 of this event, the sample size was pretty small and the archetype is still putting up solid win percentages.

We’ll surely be keeping an eye on the Historic ladder as well as competitive events as the meta continues to adapt, so stay tuned! In the meantime, you’ll find all eight of the top decklists from the event linked below. Also, be sure to check out the detailed infographics available from the Pizza Box Open on the tournament’s mtgmeta.io page.

Top 8 Decklists

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Paul
Paul

Dude from Vermont who likes to play Magic and Escape from Tarkov. Musician, writer, and gamer. Submit feedback or corrections to @Paul on the Discord.

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